Shamli District is a recently established administrative region. Previously part of Muzaffarnagar District, it was a prominent tehsil within it. At the time of the 2011 census, Shamli district had a population of 1,273,578. Shamli is a largely rural district with 40% voters from the Muslim community. There are three Vidhan Sabha constituencies in Shamli district: Shamli, Kairana, and Thanabhawan. All of these are part of Kairana Lok Sabha constituency. The current MLA for Shamli is Prasan Chaudhary (RLD) and the Lok Sabha MP is Pradeep Choudhary (BJP). The MLA for Kairana is Nahid Hasan (Samajwadi Party) while that of Thanabhawan is Ashraf Ali Khan (RLD). There is a significant population of Jats in Shamli district, as evidenced from the presence of RLD legislators.<br><br>Shamli city has an agriculture and industry-based economy where sugarcane is the main crop. There are three major sugar mills located at Shamli, Un and Thanabhawan. Shamli is known worldwide for its Rim-Axle industry which also got selected under Uttar Pradesh Governments One District One Product Scheme. Religious polarisation is an issue, as Shamli and Muzaffarnagar districts were "considered sensitive" ever since the violent riots of August and September 2013.<br><br>In the year 2017, when the Yogi government was formed in Uttar Pradesh, development work started appearing on the ground in Shamli. At present, many new colonies are being developed on the Shamli-Muzaffarnagar road, Bhainswal road and Kairana road. Many small colonies are being built on the under construction Collectorate Road as well. Earlier. There was a provision of 25 acres of land as per the standard for construction of a colony, but now the state government has approved the proposal of setting up a small colony in 12.5 acres of land. Small investors and regional public representatives have also welcomed this. Meanwhile, the construction of five national highways, corridors and a ring road is going on to relieve the traffic situation of Shamli city and neighbouring areas.<br><br>The Kairana Lok Sabha constituency is no stranger to communal tensions between Jats and Muslims. The wounds of the 2013 riots in Kairana still run deep, especially among those, mostly Hindu families displaced after an exodus from Kairana. The Yogi government has made assurances to families to return and resume their business activities. Many have even returned seeing an improved law and order situation. Owing largely to this polarisation, the BJP remains popular among Hindu voters here and has been holding the seat since 2014. While sitting MP Pradeep Singh will contest one more time from the seat, the other two major parties SP and BSP have named Iqra Hasan and Sripal Singh respectively as their candidates. These parties lean primarily on the Muslim vote bank, while the BJP-RLD alliance is expected to win the support of Hindu voters including Jats.
2. Kairana (कैराना) is a Lok Sabha (Parliamentary) constituency in Uttar Pradesh. This constituency is located in the North region of India and in the West Uttar Pradesh region within Uttar Pradesh. This seat includes the following districts of Uttar Pradesh: Saharanpur, Shamli. Kairana Lok Sabha seat can be classified as: Rural and the reservation status of this seat is: General. 2. Kairana is voting in Phase 1 of the 2024 Lok Sabha election on Friday, April 19, 2024.
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Kairana Lok Sabha constituency (Image: News18)
Location
The geographic coordinates of Kairana Lok Sabha constituency are: 29°23'39.8"N 77°12'19.1"E. Kairana shares its borders with four other Lok Sabha constituencies. Other Lok Sabha constituencies adjacent to Kairana are: Saharanpur, Muzaffarnagar, Baghpat, Haryana: Karnal. This constituency shares an inter-state border with: Haryana.
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Location of Kairana Lok Sabha constituency on the map of India displaying the 543 different Parliamentary constituencies (Image: News18)
In the 2019 Lok Sabha general elections, Pradeep Kumar of BJP won in this seat defeating Tabassum Begum of SP by a margin of 92,160 votes which was 8.2% of the total votes cast for the seat. BJP had a vote share of 50.43% in 2019 in this seat.
In 2014, Hukum Singh of BJP emerged victorious in this seat beating Nahid Hasan of SP by a margin of 2,36,828 votes which was 21.16% of the total votes polled in the constituency. BJP secured a vote share of 50.56% in the seat.
In the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, Tabassum Begum of BSP won this seat beating Hukum Singh of BJP by a margin of 22,463 votes which was 3.1% of the total votes polled in the constituency. BSP had a vote share of 39.03% in the seat.
Kairana Lok Sabha constituency has an estimated Scheduled Caste population of 16% and an estimated Scheduled Tribe population of 0%, according to the latest relevant Delimitation Commission report. The estimated literacy level of the district(s) in which this constituency falls in is 67%, according the Census of India, 2011.
In the Kairana Lok Sabha constituency, there were a total of 1,71,90,011 registered voters on the electoral rolls for the 2024 Lok Sabha election, of which 9,20,186 were male, 7,98,729 female and 96 of the third gender. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, there were a total of 16,66,703 registered voters, of which 9,20,186 were male, 7,66,371 female and 93 of the third gender. In 2014 elections, there were a total of 15,31,767 registered voters in this constituency, of which 8,40,629 were male, 6,91,073 female and 65 of the third gender. In the 2009 polls, the number of total electors was 12,82,551 which included 7,04,937 male, and 5,77,614 female.
The number of service voters in Lok Sabha constituency was 4,740 in 2019, 2,249 in 2014 and 1,784 in 2009.
The electorate gender ratio or sex ratio (number of female voters per 1000 male voters) in this constituency in 2024 was 868, in 2019 it was 851, 822 in 2014 and 819 in 2009.
Poll dates
Kairana Lok Sabha constituency went to the polls in Phase 1 of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections on Friday, April 19, 2024. The counting of votes is on Tuesday, June 4, 2024.
In the 2019 Lok Sabha general elections this seat voted in Phase 1 on Thursday, April 11, 2019 and the results were declared on Thursday, May 23, 2019.
In the 2014 polls this constituency voted in Phase 1 on Thursday, April 10, 2014 and the results were declared on Friday, May 16, 2014.
In 2009, Kairana voted in Phase 4 on Thursday, May 07, 2009 and the results were declared on Saturday, May 16, 2009.
Extent
According the latest delimitation documents for 2. Kairana Lok Sabha seat, the extent of this constituency covers the following areas of Uttar Pradesh: 2. Nakur: KCs 1 Nakur, 3 Sarsawa, 4 Sultanpur, Sarsawa NPP, Nakur NPP and Chilkana Sultanpur NP of 3 Nakur Tehsil; 7. Gangoh: KCs 2 Ambehta, 5 Gangoh, Ambehta NP, Titron NP & Gangoh NPP of 3 Nakur Tehsil; KC 6 Nanauta & Nanauta NP of 4 Deoband Tehsil; 8. Kairana: PCs 4 Gagor, 5 Un, 6 Chausana 1, 7 Chausana 2, 8 Toda, 9 Khodsama, 10 Shamli Shamla, 11 Ballamajara, 12 Bajheri, 13 Kera Bhau, 14 Nai Nangla, 15 Dathera, 16 Baheda, 17 Sakoti, 18 Udpur, 19 Machhrauli, 20 Lawa Daudpur of 1 Un KC, 2 Jhinjhana KC, PCs Kairana 1 & 4, Kairana 2, Kairana 3, 5 Mohammadpur Rai, 6 Ramra, 7 Panjeeth, 8 Mamaur, 9 Teetarvada, 10 Unchagaon, 11 Airati, 12 Kandela, 15 Dundookheda, 16 Issopur of 3 Kairana KC, Un NP, Jhinjhana NP & Kairana NPP of 1 Kairana Tehsil; 9. Thana Bhawan: KC 3 Thana Bhawan, PCs 1 Taprana, 2 Purmafee, 3 Nonagali, 4 Silawar, 5 Gadhipukhta, 6 Malandi, 7 Tana, 8 Goharni, 9 Ranjhad, 10 Bhainswal 1, 11 Sikka, 12 Kedi, 13 Babri, 14 Butrada, 15 Sontta, 16 Banteekheda, 17 Karodahati, 19 Kaservakalan, 20 Titauli of 2 Shamli KC, Garhipuktha NP, Thana Bhawan NP & Jalalabad NP of 2 Shamli Tehsil; PCs 1 Pindaura Jahangir, 2 Hathchhoya & 3 Mundet of 1 Un KC of Kairana Tehsil; 10. Shamli: KC 1 Lisadh, PC 18 Shamli, 21 Banat of 2 Shamli KC, 4 Ailum NP, 5 Shamli NPP & 6 Banat NP of 2 Shamli Tehsil; PCs 13 Kandrawali, 14 Aaldi, 17 19 Kandhala (E)(N)(S), 20 Gangeru (E), 21 Gangeru (W), 22 Gangeru (N) of 3 Kairana KC & Kandhala NPP of 1 Kairana Tehsil; PCs 18 Nala, 19 Tahapur Bhabisa, 20 Kaniyan, 21 Salfa & 22 Sunna of Budhana KC of Budhana Tehsil.
Voter turnout
According to data released by the Election Commission of India, in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the estimated voter turnout in Kairana constituency was 62.46%. In 2019, this seat registered a turnout of 67%, while it was 73% in 2014 and 57% in 2009. The estimated turnout in 2024 was -4.98% compared to the 2019 turnout.
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Total voters
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Victory margin
In the 2019 Lok Sabha general elections, Pradeep Kumar of BJP won in this constituency beating Tabassum Begum of SP by a margin of 92,160 votes which was 8.2% of the total votes cast. In 2014, Hukum Singh of BJP was the winner in this seat beating Nahid Hasan of SP by a margin of 2,36,828 votes which was 21.16% of the total votes polled in the constituency. In the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, Tabassum Begum of BSP won this seat defeating Hukum Singh of BJP by a margin of 22,463 votes which was 3.1% of the total votes polled for the seat.
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Winner vote share (%)
In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, Pradeep Kumar of BJP had a vote share of 50.43% in this seat.
In 2014, Hukum Singh of BJP secured a vote share of 50.56% in this constituency.
In the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, Tabassum Begum of BSP got a vote share of 39.03% in Kairana.